Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.005002 0.005678 0.006452 0.007411 0.008580 0.009977 0.011797
2025-12-07 0.003966 0.004778 0.005789 0.007171 0.009061 0.011630 0.015536
2025-12-14 0.003418 0.004278 0.005415 0.007078 0.009547 0.013263 0.019695
2025-12-21 0.003138 0.004057 0.005331 0.007310 0.010483 0.015744 0.026159
2025-12-28 0.002958 0.003933 0.005345 0.007661 0.011652 0.018947 0.035621
2026-01-04 0.002753 0.003741 0.005221 0.007758 0.012403 0.021647 0.045832
2026-01-11 0.002547 0.003522 0.005022 0.007687 0.012820 0.023821 0.056475
2026-01-18 0.002392 0.003361 0.004891 0.007705 0.013403 0.026581 0.071511
2026-01-25 0.002222 0.003160 0.004670 0.007522 0.013529 0.028307 0.085130
2026-02-01 0.002046 0.002935 0.004386 0.007179 0.013234 0.028842 0.094901
2026-02-08 0.001889 0.002730 0.004117 0.006831 0.012861 0.029050 0.103839
2026-02-15 0.001818 0.002660 0.004075 0.006921 0.013524 0.032600 0.136893
2026-02-22 0.001712 0.002530 0.003929 0.006812 0.013757 0.035213 0.173943
2026-03-01 0.001601 0.002385 0.003744 0.006599 0.013697 0.036908 0.212078
2026-03-08 0.001518 0.002282 0.003627 0.006515 0.013961 0.040024 0.280761
2026-03-15 0.001479 0.002252 0.003642 0.006723 0.015095 0.047596 0.474897
2026-03-22 0.001455 0.002245 0.003699 0.007034 0.016652 0.058875 0.992004
2026-03-29 0.001407 0.002194 0.003663 0.007121 0.017549 0.068049 1.972567
2026-04-05 0.001349 0.002117 0.003571 0.007058 0.017936 0.074879 3.784509
2026-04-12 0.001303 0.002061 0.003514 0.007074 0.018616 0.084852 10.621990
2026-04-19 0.001243 0.001977 0.003394 0.006911 0.018599 0.089874 27.172735
2026-04-26 0.001176 0.001873 0.003227 0.006606 0.017964 0.089269 47.928445
2026-05-03 0.001112 0.001775 0.003064 0.006296 0.017251 0.087511 79.756013